Analysis of Economic Value Forecasting of Amplang Industry in Samarinda City

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to find out the best forecasting method to see production and to know
the economic value produced by the amplang industry in the future. This research was conducted in
Samarinda City. Samples were 19 envelopes in Samarinda which were obtained using the Slovin
formula and the sampling method used was the Purposive Sampling method. The results show that:
the exponential growth model is the best calculation model based on the results of the test model and
the smallest standard error value is 0.012. Both methods used show the results of an increase in the
amount of production in the future that is equal to 521.09 kg for the linear trend method while 495.46
for the exponential growth method